Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nova Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x940197242c7c6fc984bba6b601469e2f878e82159774932f271d19f5d782bb76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FunPlus Phoenixof Nova Esports, FunPlus Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x622a…2b59backed Nova Esports | 2c | 1,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Nova Esports | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed FunPlus Phoenix | 67c | 1,393$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.48 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Nova Esports | 11c | 1,323$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.89 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Nova Esports | 9c | 1,120$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed FunPlus Phoenix | 64c | 915.47$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed FunPlus Phoenix | 65c | 860.31$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed FunPlus Phoenix | 66c | 756.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Nova Esports | 18c | 700$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…9913backed Nova Esports | 36c | 690$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Nova Esports | 22c | 610.42$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Nova Esports | 39c | 574.98$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.99 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Nova Esports | 36c | 557.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Nova Esports | 32c | 528.13$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nova Esports | 35c | 461.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.42 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…c66cbacked Nova Esports | 34c | 455.6$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed FunPlus Phoenix | 65c | 435.22$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.33 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…6f8fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 64c | 360$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…c529backed FunPlus Phoenix | 64c | 330$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe475…9a24backed FunPlus Phoenix | 62c | 326.67$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 79c | 303.96$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -14.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Nova Esports | 26c | 297.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 69c | 286.77$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…c10dbacked Nova Esports | 38c | 246.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Nova Esports | 35c | 229.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…ed27backed Nova Esports | 24c | 227.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Nova Esports | 36c | 195.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nova Esports | 25c | 185.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed FunPlus Phoenix | 63c | 159.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 157$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b76…bf1dbacked Nova Esports | 23c | 151.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed FunPlus Phoenix | 78c | 128.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Nova Esports | 36c | 110.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked FunPlus Phoenix | 65c | 100.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Nova Esports | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Nova Esports | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…776abacked FunPlus Phoenix | 62c | 58.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 63c | 51.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed FunPlus Phoenix | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…b9d2backed FunPlus Phoenix | 60c | 44.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed FunPlus Phoenix | 69c | 39.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 66c | 37.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Nova Esports | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nova Esports | 42c | 32.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…a8eebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…3344backed FunPlus Phoenix | 65c | 30.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 73cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed FunPlus Phoenix | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…fa7fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 64c | 19.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed FunPlus Phoenix | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…5cddbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 77c | 13.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.