Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Furman Paladins vs. Manhattan Jaspers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53fd24973dffb6c5b35ccb95a7b6064f1966529b7330632e22e8b3090d954578
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Furman Paladinsof Furman Paladins, Manhattan Jaspers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Furman Paladins | 66c | 1,788$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.65 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manhattan Jaspers | 24c | 1,190$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.7 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Manhattan Jaspers | 19c | 800.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 19c | 693.2$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.07 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 20c | 688.79$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.63 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Furman Paladins | 77c | 618.5$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.56 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…c10dbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 27c | 509.81$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Manhattan Jaspers | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Manhattan Jaspers | 12c | 409.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Manhattan Jaspers | 25c | 402.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 20c | 393.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Manhattan Jaspers | 27c | 330.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Manhattan Jaspers | 18c | 328$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Manhattan Jaspers | 22c | 242.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 17c | 173.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Furman Paladins | 80c | 137.62$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Manhattan Jaspers | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Manhattan Jaspers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 20c | 61.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Furman Paladins | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Furman Paladins | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Furman Paladins | 74c | 25.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.