TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Temple Owls vs. Davidson Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Temple Owlsof Temple Owls, Davidson Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,179
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,179 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee14…8055backed Temple Owls80c4,152$3,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.027758.4%45 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Temple Owls79c3,844$3,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.785,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Davidson Wildcats38c3,047$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.151,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Davidson Wildcats22c2,400$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.82,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Temple Owls64c2,340$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.13,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Davidson Wildcats15c2,133$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.5755657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Davidson Wildcats30c1,891$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.795,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Davidson Wildcats24c1,799$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.941,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Temple Owls60c1,061$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.131,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Davidson Wildcats17c909.99$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.41,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Temple Owls31c739$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.741,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Temple Owls29c700$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49729444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Davidson Wildcats69c645.77$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.4216341.7%68 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Temple Owls77c542.44$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.352,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Davidson Wildcats29c523.44$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.993,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Davidson Wildcats34c454.21$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.661,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Davidson Wildcats71c453$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.142,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Davidson Wildcats22c384$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.141,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Temple Owls31c339.43$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.2152928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Temple Owls32c316.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.0521050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Temple Owls79c299.99$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6325438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Davidson Wildcats18c270.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7512435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Davidson Wildcats67c219.03$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.112,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Davidson Wildcats69c193.54$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.545450%27 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Temple Owls56c165.44$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.923953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Temple Owls77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.56373%46 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Temple Owls70c136.82$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.412,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Temple Owls62c112.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.021,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Davidson Wildcats21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2164322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Davidson Wildcats35c62.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.092646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Davidson Wildcats71c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.673549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Davidson Wildcats28c57.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7710037%37 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6794…c10dbacked Davidson Wildcats43c55.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Temple Owls74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.915453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x308f…e152backed Davidson Wildcats66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb834…e4c1backed Temple Owls77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.978350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Davidson Wildcats71c24.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.17061.4%43 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab93…8fe3backed Temple Owls68c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Davidson Wildcats68c21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.281,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c74…da97backed Davidson Wildcats65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Temple Owls75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.914,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Davidson Wildcats69c15.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9849043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.