Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Winthrop Eagles vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00571822a99b926952b151f5ba52bec0ca2210f231063642af0c2c78a6fc4ee3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota Fighting Hawksof Winthrop Eagles, North Dakota Fighting Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 34c | 3,682$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.79 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Winthrop Eagles | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Winthrop Eagles | 33c | 1,604$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.64 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Winthrop Eagles | 58c | 927$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.14 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 44c | 640.07$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.66 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Winthrop Eagles | 6c | 600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Winthrop Eagles | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Winthrop Eagles | 10c | 600$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 13c | 560.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.35 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Winthrop Eagles | 37c | 537$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.12 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Winthrop Eagles | 23c | 247.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Winthrop Eagles | 53c | 209$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb4…7124backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 64c | 156.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +68%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 23c | 149.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.07 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…28a5backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 12c | 91.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Winthrop Eagles | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 15c | 67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…c10dbacked Winthrop Eagles | 77c | 63.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Winthrop Eagles | 69c | 34.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.