Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Randers FC win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa6401f4ae9015b3f1dfd22cce3e3b34b67b637801e0c3710b7f527683be7e19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 28c | 30,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,549.99 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 63c | 9,255$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.18 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 8,917$6,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.84 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 72c | 6,078$4,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.17 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 4,056$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.07 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 699.78$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.92 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 80c | 601.11$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.22 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 63c | 505.33$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.07 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 489.12$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 257.13$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f16…2d56backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 63c | 139$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed No | 79c | 126.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 64c | 89.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…e5a1backed No | 63c | 19.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…a3c8backed No | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Randers FC win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Silkeborg IF vs. Randers FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Silkeborg IF win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.