Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55618ffec20c2523390463fcbc6b331763f159f93ff929eff9b4675b90eae181
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 24c | 30,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.99 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 63c | 2,700$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 1,939$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.78 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 37c | 1,291$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 1,095$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.32 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 69c | 679.71$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.37 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 643.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.58 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 32c | 478.32$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.06 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 23c | 414.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 37c | 338.82$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 79c | 258.21$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 37c | 255$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 37c | 232.28$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 63c | 196.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f16…2d56backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed No | 80c | 124.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 28c | 120.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 38c | 103$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 63c | 64.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 37c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 62c | 50.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…1b1abacked Yes | 38c | 28.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 63c | 19.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…e5a1backed No | 62c | 19.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 75c | 14.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Rio Ave FC vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.