Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 156.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f2c9cb697e4ae737528757703ee20aaf9acb771d7a11fd8207fb5fdf3daa480
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,020 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 61c | 6,071$3,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.45 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 46c | 2,149$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.51 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 34c | 1,500$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Over | 34c | 1,234$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.93 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 65c | 772.89$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.51 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 41c | 741.17$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 53c | 561.1$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.72 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 35c | 510.78$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.77 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 41c | 505$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.95 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Over | 45c | 493.41$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.06 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Over | 45c | 392.45$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.44 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 42c | 344$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 35c | 295.79$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 53c | 280.55$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.86 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 53c | 215.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 42c | 203.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.27 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 42c | 85.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 42c | 83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Under | 53c | 75.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 53c | 75.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 53c | 51.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 42c | 43.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…b137backed Over | 41c | 30.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 61c | 24.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…ef80backed Under | 53c | 24.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Under | 53c | 22.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 156.5this page
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Saint Louis BillikensSaint Louis Billikens won
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-22.5)Loyola Chicago Ramblers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.