MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Tigers Series Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ded66672c0a1764bfb64f477440021aace3d4940d27c52faa51eb174a79cd80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Guardians, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Tigers | 54c | 10,182$5,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,683.72 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 46c | 8,500$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Tigers | 53c | 7,813$4,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.11 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Tigers | 53c | 6,150$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.7 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tigers | 42c | 5,512$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.96 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Guardians | 47c | 5,486$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.14 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Guardians | 58c | 5,119$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.02 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers | 54c | 4,530$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.65 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Guardians | 47c | 4,395$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.31 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Guardians | 46c | 4,145$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.86 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Guardians | 53c | 3,608$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.01 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 46c | 3,541$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.14 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Guardians | 46c | 2,374$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.69 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Guardians | 47c | 1,495$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.18 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Guardians | 47c | 1,395$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.64 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Tigers | 54c | 1,052$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.92 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Guardians | 38c | 1,021$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.93 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Tigers | 53c | 650$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Tigers | 53c | 589.92$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Guardians | 46c | 508.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Guardians | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Guardians | 30c | 397$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…038ebacked Guardians | 52c | 303.42$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Tigers | 42c | 268$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.44 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Guardians | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Tigers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Guardians | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Guardians | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31bd…1681backed Guardians | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…b703backed Guardians | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…2e56backed Guardians | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.