CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Legacy (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf893633d03b7912af1d50e3a9c51147e427ac6182114c9ead74143efc2c7bd2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Heroic, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Heroic | 46c | 12,108$5,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,568.41 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Legacy | 54c | 9,300$5,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,278 | 362 | 40.3%146 W · 216 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Heroic | 53c | 3,724$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.26 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…41a7backed Legacy | 34c | 2,981$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.68 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Heroic | 45c | 2,949$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.9 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Legacy | 55c | 2,653$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.09 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Heroic | 47c | 2,190$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.33 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Heroic | 75c | 1,448$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.81 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Legacy | 28c | 1,365$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.27 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Legacy | 54c | 1,128$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.76 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Heroic | 74c | 945.95$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Legacy | 61c | 915.36$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Legacy | 37c | 872.85$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.35 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Legacy | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…6c83backed Heroic | 38c | 659.81$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Heroic | 76c | 568$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.68 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Legacy | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Heroic | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Heroic | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Heroic | 47c | 492.34$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.4 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Legacy | 22c | 463.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.22 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Legacy | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Legacy | 52c | 410.16$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.53 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Legacy | 53c | 362$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.14 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked Legacy | 53c | 350.34$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.7 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Legacy | 54c | 334$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.64 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Legacy | 54c | 333.24$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.29 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heroic | 45c | 300.04$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.85 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Heroic | 48c | 284.69$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…5c4abacked Legacy | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked Heroic | 34c | 252$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 266 | 35.7%95 W · 171 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Heroic | 46c | 243.48$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Legacy | 53c | 233$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.51 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Heroic | 47c | 233$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Heroic | 75c | 229.33$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 385 | 52.2%201 W · 184 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…82f7backed Heroic | 48c | 209.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Legacy | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Heroic | 47c | 193$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked Heroic | 49c | 192.81$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed Legacy | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Heroic | 46c | 181.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…da0ebacked Heroic | 71c | 170.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8483…7858backed Legacy | 56c | 166.07$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Legacy | 65c | 153.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…9abdbacked Legacy | 55c | 150.05$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Legacy | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Legacy | 25c | 140.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.35 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed Heroic | 48c | 135.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Legacy | 53c | 132$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Heroic | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed Legacy | 53c | 119.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Legacy | 52c | 109.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Legacy | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Legacy | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Legacy | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Heroic | 59c | 72.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 737 | 58.2%429 W · 308 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Legacy | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed Legacy | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Legacy | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…d761backed Heroic | 38c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Heroic | 43c | 57.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Legacy | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Legacy | 50c | 54.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Heroic | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Legacy | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Legacy | 51c | 48.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Legacy | 57c | 46.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f8…382ebacked Legacy | 36c | 41.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…4df2backed Legacy | 34c | 41.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Heroic | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Legacy | 73c | 41.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Heroic | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Heroic | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Legacy | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Legacy | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Legacy | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Heroic | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Legacy | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Legacy | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Heroic | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Heroic | 65c | 17.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.