CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64cfe2b2f255137af5d969e74eb5e177abaa1eeb2cc46952270005437b04e25d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof 3DMAX, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed 3DMAX | 46c | 16,349$7,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,836.48 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Liquid | 54c | 13,978$7,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,551.5 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed 3DMAX | 45c | 7,698$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233.88 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Liquid | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked 3DMAX | 46c | 2,609$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.86 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Liquid | 55c | 2,320$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed 3DMAX | 51c | 2,266$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.49 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Liquid | 54c | 1,954$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.75 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Liquid | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.93 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Liquid | 51c | 1,045$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.07 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…41a7backed Liquid | 53c | 1,016$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.75 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked 3DMAX | 47c | 1,003$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.48 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Liquid | 53c | 995.39$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.56 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX | 37c | 875$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Liquid | 38c | 833$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.23 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…9abdbacked Liquid | 55c | 816.93$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.31 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked 3DMAX | 44c | 800$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Liquid | 55c | 757.18$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.45 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked 3DMAX | 45c | 728.21$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.52 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Liquid | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Liquid | 54c | 699.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.99 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8483…7858backed Liquid | 76c | 693.74$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Liquid | 55c | 599.89$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.94 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Liquid | 54c | 569.9$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.75 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed 3DMAX | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Liquid | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Liquid | 24c | 496.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4b40backed Liquid | 47c | 480.21$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed 3DMAX | 63c | 476.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.52 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed 3DMAX | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed 3DMAX | 46c | 370$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Liquid | 55c | 336$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked 3DMAX | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed58…81f3backed Liquid | 58c | 286.16$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…6c83backed Liquid | 60c | 274.85$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.96 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Liquid | 55c | 265.45$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed 3DMAX | 46c | 229$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.66 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Liquid | 45c | 225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed 3DMAX | 46c | 217.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed 3DMAX | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked 3DMAX | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8203…0187backed 3DMAX | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed 3DMAX | 23c | 192.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.16 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…82f7backed Liquid | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed 3DMAX | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed 3DMAX | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed 3DMAX | 46c | 173$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Liquid | 66c | 151.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63f…8032backed 3DMAX | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Liquid | 52c | 130.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked 3DMAX | 61c | 125.54$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Liquid | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked 3DMAX | 45c | 113$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked 3DMAX | 33c | 106.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed 3DMAX | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed 3DMAX | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Liquid | 29c | 96.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 3DMAX | 65c | 92.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Liquid | 47c | 75.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda45…d95bbacked Liquid | 25c | 74.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Liquid | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Liquid | 55c | 53.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Liquid | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Liquid | 55c | 45.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Liquid | 45c | 43.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed 3DMAX | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…ee04backed 3DMAX | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Liquid | 55c | 36.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed 3DMAX | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed 3DMAX | 71c | 27.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.