CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Gentle Mates (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f83560bc99188897d75a837e5f9d9476f4651a910e1961ffe7c4cc8ed6ed74e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Legacy, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Gentle Mates | 34c | 30,500$10,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,375 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Legacy | 66c | 29,799$19,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,131.74 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Gentle Mates | 32c | 9,133$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.22 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Legacy | 66c | 6,373$4,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.34 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gentle Mates | 1c | 6,239$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Gentle Mates | 34c | 4,207$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.75 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Gentle Mates | 37c | 3,591$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.39 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Legacy | 67c | 2,775$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.75 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Legacy | 66c | 2,077$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.61 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Legacy | 63c | 1,883$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Gentle Mates | 21c | 1,810$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.7 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Legacy | 67c | 1,725$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.2 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked Legacy | 74c | 1,644$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.8 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Gentle Mates | 34c | 1,630$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Gentle Mates | 34c | 1,531$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.68 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Legacy | 66c | 1,254$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.99 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Legacy | 64c | 1,161$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.41 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Gentle Mates | 15c | 1,137$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Legacy | 67c | 884$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.22 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Legacy | 66c | 640.91$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.91 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Legacy | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Legacy | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Legacy | 77c | 578.55$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Gentle Mates | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Legacy | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Gentle Mates | 22c | 486.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.61 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Legacy | 66c | 403.33$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.1 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Legacy | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked Gentle Mates | 34c | 365.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Gentle Mates | 34c | 364$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.42 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Gentle Mates | 31c | 311.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Legacy | 67c | 304.48$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked Legacy | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -6.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Gentle Mates | 22c | 301.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Gentle Mates | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed Gentle Mates | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Gentle Mates | 35c | 280.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Gentle Mates | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…9212backed Legacy | 70c | 170.3$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Legacy | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Gentle Mates | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Legacy | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Gentle Mates | 25c | 119.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Legacy | 67c | 114.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Gentle Mates | 32c | 93.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Legacy | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…14efbacked Legacy | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Legacy | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Gentle Mates | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99de…7b9bbacked Legacy | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x286f…76febacked Legacy | 67c | 48.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5190…47cbbacked Legacy | 67c | 47.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…53e5backed Legacy | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7d…04babacked Legacy | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed66…533cbacked Legacy | 66c | 41.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed Legacy | 77c | 40.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed1…4d54backed Legacy | 67c | 39.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…8340backed Legacy | 67c | 38.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b1…d0b5backed Legacy | 66c | 38.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…9504backed Legacy | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed Legacy | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed Legacy | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…95debacked Legacy | 66c | 24.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…6155backed Legacy | 67c | 23.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Legacy | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Legacy | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.