TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
HOTUof HOTU, Favbet
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,955 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked HOTU60c8,040$4,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.233,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Favbet42c4,716$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.7621941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Favbet47c2,587$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.5127947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Favbet40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe9…c6dcbacked Favbet46c1,637$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505660.7%34 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked HOTU61c1,597$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.51,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked HOTU60c1,480$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5928852.3%46 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Favbet35c1,421$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.321,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU63c1,338$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.236,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked HOTU76c980.82$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.362,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked Favbet40c887.98$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.1914853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff0b…d06bbacked Favbet17c874$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.581338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed HOTU62c804.2$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.216947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e0…8eb7backed Favbet16c721$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.361050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8452…018abacked Favbet18c712$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e22…404dbacked Favbet16c700$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e9c…ca4fbacked Favbet19c612$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.281457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+51.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed HOTU60c595.43$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.484,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…5310backed Favbet22c584$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4850%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Favbet30c555$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.550043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7127…5bb5backed Favbet34c537.95$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.61662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…90d3backed HOTU78c534$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.481040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Favbet41c513.42$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.529044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Favbet40c495.55$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3687244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed HOTU55c467.89$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8856732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked HOTU59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.353545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Favbet34c399.15$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.551,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked HOTU51c387.22$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.513,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed HOTU59c323.67$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6418041.7%75 W · 105 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Favbet39c310$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.351,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed HOTU60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU70c297.34$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.247,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Favbet37c296$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.431,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed Favbet17c291.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013857.2%79 W · 59 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a46…97eabacked Favbet28c290$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.21330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid+147.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Favbet48c254.16$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0496543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c4…d354backed Favbet46c218.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.361369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa442…d722backed Favbet45c215.49$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.071866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a48…e79cbacked Favbet47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed HOTU63c202.26$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3090…b769backed HOTU60c193$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.61955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc78…ce73backed HOTU72c188$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.64850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+274.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a04…c352backed Favbet22c185.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.921275%9 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+72.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed HOTU60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6767651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Favbet36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5454032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Favbet40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…0a56backed HOTU78c149$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Favbet41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked HOTU52c142.02$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.172,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Favbet19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518751.3%96 W · 91 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed HOTU63c128$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0546344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8945…640bbacked HOTU60c123$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9426257.6%151 W · 111 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab06…3617backed HOTU72c102$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.56933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed HOTU58c101.22$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0220440.7%83 W · 121 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Favbet41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.591648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Favbet36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3635744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed Favbet41c96.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017837.6%67 W · 111 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Favbet37c95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.121952.5%115 W · 104 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Favbet13c94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3938037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked HOTU59c92$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7248948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be0…cba2backed Favbet47c90.35$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.13650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked HOTU65c88.43$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1945956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Favbet41c85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8554348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd590…5eeebacked HOTU59c84.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc255…0470backed HOTU60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3314863.5%94 W · 54 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed HOTU60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3352449%257 W · 267 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed HOTU61c75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9629244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked HOTU60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6714153.9%76 W · 65 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed HOTU60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6749766.8%332 W · 165 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Favbet24c64.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.492,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe3d1…4764backed Favbet20c64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd75d…4accbacked HOTU80c64$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Favbet18c63.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Favbet16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked HOTU60c61$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5154346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Favbet32c58.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5843239.1%169 W · 263 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed HOTU68c58.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.481040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ae…8a36backed Favbet35c57.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.21742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Favbet35c54.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.091,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Favbet41c52.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6685446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Favbet31c50.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.542,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked HOTU65c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.73360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3b44backed HOTU78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2a2…23a0backed HOTU59c46.24$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.963729.7%11 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Favbet41c46.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9622342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked HOTU64c45.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2723858%138 W · 100 L+13.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked HOTU60c43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.249745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d7…ec13backed HOTU60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.675955.9%33 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2996…73debacked HOTU73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.13354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…fc74backed Favbet41c39.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2330831.2%96 W · 212 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed HOTU73c39.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5611645.7%53 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa381…41b8backed HOTU78c36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcea2…8ea7backed HOTU66c32.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick71cpaid-62.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked HOTU60c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.81,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cc9…c447backed HOTU68c31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed HOTU53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.13847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked HOTU66c26.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1827556.7%156 W · 119 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked HOTU59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4225554.5%139 W · 116 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked Favbet40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeda…001ebacked HOTU59c22.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.454847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.