Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa9b3b42643fd840136bee20e3a19fc63dfdead2a917c9616cbf32f97dc31799
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,835 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 4,379$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.62 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 2,246$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.24 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 2,162$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.9 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 830.71$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 744.17$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.35 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 27c | 648.22$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.07 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 28c | 542$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 30c | 480$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 70c | 478.93$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 415.14$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.85 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 69c | 383.24$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 33c | 369.1$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.86 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Yes | 30c | 340$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 296$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 78c | 274.13$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 183.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 67c | 171.33$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 35c | 168.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 35c | 168.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x788a…bff2backed Yes | 67c | 150.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 126.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 67c | 111.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…2985backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…c447backed Yes | 28c | 106$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 49c | 100.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…9848backed Yes | 31c | 79.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 33c | 78.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…a3abbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 67c | 63.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 41c | 59.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 32c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 36c | 45.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 68c | 44.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 43.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 45c | 43.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed No | 66c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 41.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Yes | 51c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed No | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 29c | 35.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…6f94backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…8ea7backed Yes | 47c | 24.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 66c | 23.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…f285backed No | 69c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-03-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.