Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33c3dc8ea7efd4fd2dd85447f4afb36f2eb4d950710972365b16a75d76438e46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,732 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 69c | 2,896$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 2,459$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.43 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 33c | 1,459$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.37 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 26c | 1,250$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.96 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 55c | 765.45$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.69 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 529.01$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.71 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 29c | 480$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 251.06$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 44c | 236.41$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.39 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 210.82$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 28c | 179$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 64c | 165$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 159.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 45c | 141.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 131.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 27c | 109.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 28c | 81.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed No | 64c | 72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 72c | 61.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 30c | 60.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…401cbacked Yes | 29c | 60.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 44c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 26c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 44c | 53.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 28c | 51.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 63c | 48.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 33.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 32c | 32.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…e95fbacked Yes | 38c | 26.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 42c | 25.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-03-12?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-03-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.