South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Internacional vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb18d76b6ee3a98f6097f26583d54c2a42d23d5801bdc97ef74729468f132cad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,713 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 1,190$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.43 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 55c | 1,009$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.5 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 13c | 948.1$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.23 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 11c | 800$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 57c | 758.56$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.27 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 748.31$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.15 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 320$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 11c | 264.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 75c | 248$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 11c | 220$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 34c | 217.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd56…d1cfbacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 57c | 176.35$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 34c | 134.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 96.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 15c | 96.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 41c | 74.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 57c | 49.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 35.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb86…7dc4backed Over | 59c | 35.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…c447backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Over | 78c | 15.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Internacional vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Internacional vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Internacional vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.