South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Internacional vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0c25d82cf4e4cc1696ca2b818d9341fb7c5f38c6db3c195a8c67b410be9d100
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,433 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,049.91 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 7,614$3,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,187.83 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.91 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 4,078$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.48 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 2,326$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.97 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 80c | 2,022$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.05 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 2,005$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.59 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 19c | 1,158$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.69 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 19c | 1,030$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.82 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 47c | 883.19$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.09 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 53c | 486.95$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.62 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 55c | 470$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 326.21$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.49 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 40c | 247.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 44c | 227.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 45c | 217$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.35 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 48c | 209.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 45c | 195.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ad…7e27backed Under | 50c | 178.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ee…cf75backed Over | 50c | 173.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb5…69d9backed Over | 50c | 172.68$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee5…6f50backed Under | 50c | 172$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0971…7a79backed Under | 50c | 163$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…f360backed Over | 50c | 157.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…1e0cbacked Under | 50c | 153$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…615cbacked Over | 50c | 151.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 45c | 148.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa94c…cd27backed Under | 50c | 144$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eff…aa36backed Over | 50c | 143.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…6cbbbacked Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…7893backed Over | 50c | 139.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a3…98cebacked Over | 50c | 138.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…6ca1backed Over | 50c | 134.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…c494backed Under | 50c | 133$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…78e8backed Over | 50c | 130.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb669…a17bbacked Under | 50c | 129.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c5…6c68backed Under | 50c | 126$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…5391backed Under | 50c | 122$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…cbabbacked Over | 50c | 120.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 50c | 73.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 54c | 67.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 51c | 56.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Under | 44c | 48.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 56c | 48.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 45c | 41.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…9d8abacked Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 53c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 45c | 30.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Under | 45c | 27.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 55c | 27.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 26.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 26.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Under | 52c | 25.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 47c | 25.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 55c | 23.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 60c | 20.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Internacional vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Internacional vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Internacional vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.