TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,098

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,098 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf19d…276fbacked No49c62,376$30,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,811.761752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes51c61,116$31,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,169.195250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.982751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed No49c6,735$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,434.691233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes51c6,569$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,350.0621547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c5,979$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.783,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked No49c4,286$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185.71683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.974035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No49c3,641$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.41,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No53c2,831$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.861485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+50.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No53c1,999$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.2121545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes43c1,685$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.4318967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed No49c1,611$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.612065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes62c1,425$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.3419073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No49c1,287$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.3723643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No38c1,166$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.881,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes48c1,051$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.644438.6%17 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes36c927.79$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.9377751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No57c866.47$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.5647748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes29c793.1$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3066155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes45c550.02$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed No49c505.07$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.162147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554650%23 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes52c403.85$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7014…41eebacked Yes37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes51c358.16$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18215144.4%67 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes52c341$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3129370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes42c240.77$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.882646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes51c217$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0337649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes47c214.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked Yes47c211.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb91…0cacbacked Yes50c201.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Yes47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10215341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.424351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No49c169.85$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.624843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No58c151.24$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8726346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes52c141.65$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.662931%9 W · 20 L-7.7wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-46.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed No49c122.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.441145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes47c109.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.688446.4%39 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No49c107.36$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7542947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Yes51c102$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.022462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed Yes51c99.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.993040%12 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0eec…89babacked No49c98.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes51c94.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0453046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked No67c93.51$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.971650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No48c90.6$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Yes51c79.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.79966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No49c75.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.518946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No41c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5519847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No52c73.1$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.098661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No55c70.88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6937138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked No49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.71758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e28…cf34backed Yes51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.75742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes51c67.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.225250%26 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes52c64.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.53426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Yes51c62.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.012142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes52c61.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.784259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Yes52c60.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.581947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No51c59.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3930735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes35c57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.074951%25 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.531834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16aa…821cbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes52c48.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x287d…4867backed Yes43c46.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed No52c46.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.422356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No52c42.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.079740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No48c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.656248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…2391backed Yes36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No51c41.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1713950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No48c41.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.318552.9%45 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes51c40.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.731637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes52c38.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes36c36.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1837249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No52c36.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.646154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No50c32.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4225149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes50c31.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162528%7 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Yes52c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.121241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked No49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes52c27.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3310648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes48c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.963145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf986…6833backed Yes52c26.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.891442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes52c25.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1160%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No52c21.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.173250%16 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Yes52c21.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.