La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8196661fa2c351d49b9e9cd91af05db6b949baa38351f0c374b16c5a44800f81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0792…b778backed Yes | 59c | 5,541$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.66 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 41c | 4,200$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 1,299$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.76 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 7c | 1,248$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 1c | 960.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 57c | 771.93$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.93 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 42c | 400$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 43c | 317.48$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.52 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed No | 42c | 218$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02d…208ebacked No | 47c | 149.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 133.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 26c | 106.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 42c | 95.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 83.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 27c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed No | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8028backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will SD Eibar vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.