Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6527baaaa2ae823fa14591cc377caf17e83b097b0c6c958b8a3d0c5d5ce6b277
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 2,407$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.46 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 50c | 2,017$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 39c | 1,265$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.5 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 24c | 467.91$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 24c | 444$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 426.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.73 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Over | 71c | 422.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.7 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 66c | 174.1$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 42c | 143.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 25c | 102$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 25c | 99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 57c | 87.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Under | 25c | 71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 24c | 68.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 25c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 43.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 48c | 42.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…50d3backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…4bf1backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked Over | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Over | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Over | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Over | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 48c | 23.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Over | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Over | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Over | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Over | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Over | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Over | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Over | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 74c | 14.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Over | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Utrecht vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.