NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Devils: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d294f2eef9e8bf4563679de4592311bd7cbb468ccd47053cd3833d5d46912b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 13,432$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,231.88 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 55c | 7,311$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 52c | 4,444$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.99 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 49c | 3,020$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.4 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 53c | 2,933$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.67 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 51c | 2,466$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.79 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 2,010$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.26 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 1,666$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 21c | 946.29$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.07 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 69c | 517$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.27 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed Over | 48c | 516.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 473$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.65 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 49c | 437$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.3 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 400$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed Under | 66c | 300$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 214.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 51c | 197.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Under | 51c | 163.73$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Under | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 140.51$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 32c | 132$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 125.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 45c | 123.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Under | 47c | 101$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0a…a3b9backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 30c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…30f0backed Over | 55c | 61.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b65…2d9bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Devils: O/U 5.5this page
- Canucks vs. DevilsCanucks won
- Canucks vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.