NHL · resolved market
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6b9f06914048ed2f4bcf6036bfc338194f0b5f8bd4e6fc0399e8b2ba19d8a02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Devils, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Devils | 30c | 1,531$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.43 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Canucks | 70c | 1,510$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Devils | 32c | 1,119$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.38 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Canucks | 69c | 844.75$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.87 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Canucks | 68c | 581.44$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.06 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Devils | 31c | 297.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Devils | 31c | 250.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Canucks | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Devils | 31c | 154.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Canucks | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Canucks | 69c | 152.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Devils | 31c | 102.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Devils | 31c | 57.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Devils | 33c | 54.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Canucks | 69c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Devils | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Canucks | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Devils | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Canucks | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Devils | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Canucks | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Canucks | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)this page
- Canucks vs. DevilsCanucks won
- Canucks vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canucks vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.