Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ad4b9ed2059b07750cd1ec2df52fdb352bad61531a904edf0c9e073de977c75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Execrationof Execration, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed REKONIX | 50c | 2,935$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.19 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Execration | 49c | 1,688$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.07 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Execration | 50c | 1,165$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.35 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked REKONIX | 55c | 669.99$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Execration | 51c | 355.92$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334d…45c4backed Execration | 42c | 347.81$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed REKONIX | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Execration | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…be2dbacked REKONIX | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Execration | 48c | 191$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Execration | 50c | 93.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Execration | 51c | 92.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked REKONIX | 37c | 79.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Execration | 45c | 78.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed REKONIX | 54c | 73.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Execration | 48c | 41.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Execration | 53c | 21.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3)REKONIX won
- Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.