Europa Conference League · resolved market
BSC Young Boys vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe52c4f4b93b05fd35af47141aed9ed0a3d9e3cd1628f27f56f1fbda89ed77e90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 55c | 5,498$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.26 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 39c | 4,779$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.45 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 78c | 1,288$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 18c | 599.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.97 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 44c | 506$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.38 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 55c | 127.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 54c | 118.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 19c | 112.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…fca8backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 18c | 65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Under | 61c | 44.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…c2e3backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…378bbacked Over | 40c | 32.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 75c | 32.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 30.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BSC Young Boys vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5this page
- BSC Young Boys vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- BSC Young Boys vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5Under won
- BSC Young Boys vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)BSC Young Boys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.