TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,992 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over46c15,707$7,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,481.7255253.1%293 W · 259 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under55c12,500$6,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,863.1250152.5%263 W · 238 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under53c8,374$4,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,469.8311,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under54c7,504$4,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,052.161,88453%998 W · 886 L+16.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over45c4,545$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5004,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under55c4,545$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50039047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over45c3,741$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.343,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over45c3,534$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.5636246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over46c2,093$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.012,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over46c1,666$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.631,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c1,508$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.84,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79587453%463 W · 411 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over46c1,400$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.9924059.2%142 W · 98 L+18.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under33c1,098$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.18,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe478…28eabacked Under56c1,075$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under53c1,067$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.5168652.9%363 W · 323 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under54c1,024$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.962,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over47c950.24$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.1330652%159 W · 147 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over46c869.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.5738453.6%206 W · 178 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c823$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.046,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd58d…c2d6backed Over46c544.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.5615149.7%75 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27032850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Under54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27013438.8%52 W · 82 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under54c390$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.61,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under28c354.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7814235.9%51 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Over46c321.74$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7422149.3%109 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over47c297.53$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6913054.6%71 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over72c284.95$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.744,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over48c280$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,21953.9%657 W · 562 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over46c243.24$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1952045.2%235 W · 285 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c230.49$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0112,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under54c205$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.978,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over52c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.498,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under54c186$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4445149.2%222 W · 229 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003250%16 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c168.44$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.446,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Over46c166.89$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1228553.3%152 W · 133 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under54c161.2$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0573849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under30c156.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4748445.9%222 W · 262 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.52,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under53c143.21$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.91,07848.1%518 W · 560 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over47c138$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1454642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over48c122.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.95,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over46c120.53$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.991,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.678550.2%394 W · 391 L+2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under70c116.73$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.714,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Under60c116.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7067449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c109.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.841,85544%817 W · 1,038 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbecc…5672backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.74540%18 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over35c108.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5731343.5%136 W · 177 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over46c102.02$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.832,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under59c99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4187552.7%461 W · 414 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over46c99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.461,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Over71c98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4388046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over66c91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.944,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Under54c72.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab72…eae9backed Under42c71.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over47c65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4552852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under63c62.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3676558%444 W · 321 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under34c60.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.665,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over47c58.53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0217047.1%80 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under53c53.34$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2731258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2617749.7%88 W · 89 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…24ffbacked Over64c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2424843.5%108 W · 140 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c47.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.45,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over47c45.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.112,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over47c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8553238.5%205 W · 327 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Over46c43.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.478056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under40c43.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,81949.3%896 W · 923 L-24.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff70…78abbacked Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+44.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under52c41.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5642548.2%205 W · 220 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…a79abacked Over41c40.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.748744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Over47c37.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8834355.4%190 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe733…f6c9backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x273d…fb63backed Over67c37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2110658.5%62 W · 44 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010647.2%50 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under35c32.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5247646.8%223 W · 253 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb5…3444backed Over47c30.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.021172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+53.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under55c29.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.495054%27 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over47c29.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4797050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over79c27.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.732,14950.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under54c26.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.181,27857%728 W · 550 L+33.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under55c22.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5470455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under55c22.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2734846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.