Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Arevalo/Pavic vs Krawietz/Puetz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x079eb6d545cc9714208ee7ec99470f229026e3b663a30710d3681e93a06a9238
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arevalo/Pavicof Arevalo/Pavic, Krawietz/Puetz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Arevalo/Pavic | 54c | 954.79$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.89 | 298 | 54%161 W · 137 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Krawietz/Puetz | 21c | 942.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Krawietz/Puetz | 39c | 910.52$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.56 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…1af5backed Krawietz/Puetz | 37c | 820.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 226 | 47.8%108 W · 118 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Krawietz/Puetz | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Arevalo/Pavic | 64c | 599.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…eae9backed Krawietz/Puetz | 43c | 578.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Arevalo/Pavic | 69c | 578.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.72 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Krawietz/Puetz | 56c | 409.03$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Krawietz/Puetz | 30c | 349.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Krawietz/Puetz | 12c | 299.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Arevalo/Pavic | 59c | 261.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.13 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Arevalo/Pavic | 48c | 245$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c6…59efbacked Krawietz/Puetz | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Arevalo/Pavic | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Arevalo/Pavic | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Krawietz/Puetz | 45c | 196.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Arevalo/Pavic | 49c | 168.42$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Krawietz/Puetz | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 194 | 24.2%47 W · 147 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Arevalo/Pavic | 66c | 152.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arevalo/Pavic | 64c | 151.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Arevalo/Pavic | 66c | 150.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 283 | 72.1%204 W · 79 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Arevalo/Pavic | 72c | 136.31$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…b6a0backed Arevalo/Pavic | 67c | 134.73$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Arevalo/Pavic | 62c | 127.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Arevalo/Pavic | 44c | 121.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Krawietz/Puetz | 32c | 118$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Krawietz/Puetz | 34c | 114.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Krawietz/Puetz | 36c | 113.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Krawietz/Puetz | 34c | 112.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b8…64afbacked Krawietz/Puetz | 33c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Arevalo/Pavic | 61c | 101$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 1,107 | 52.8%585 W · 522 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Arevalo/Pavic | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Arevalo/Pavic | 66c | 93.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 515 | 45.8%236 W · 279 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4246…85f8backed Krawietz/Puetz | 38c | 93.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Krawietz/Puetz | 36c | 89.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Arevalo/Pavic | 63c | 69.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Arevalo/Pavic | 70c | 61.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 836 | 61%510 W · 326 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568f…d803backed Krawietz/Puetz | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Arevalo/Pavic | 60c | 51.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Arevalo/Pavic | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Krawietz/Puetz | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Krawietz/Puetz | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Krawietz/Puetz | 41c | 45.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7f10backed Krawietz/Puetz | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Krawietz/Puetz | 34c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 249 | 28.9%72 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Arevalo/Pavic | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Arevalo/Pavic | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Krawietz/Puetz | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 568 | 48.9%278 W · 290 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Arevalo/Pavic | 57c | 35.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Arevalo/Pavic | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Krawietz/Puetz | 34c | 31.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Krawietz/Puetz | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…80d4backed Krawietz/Puetz | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Arevalo/Pavic | 68c | 28.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Krawietz/Puetz | 40c | 28.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Arevalo/Pavic | 61c | 26.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Arevalo/Pavic | 61c | 25.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Arevalo/Pavic | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arevalo/Pavic | 56c | 23.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Arevalo/Pavic | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Arevalo/Pavic | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.