Tennis · resolved market
Fritz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81ef02f2edbf21b179921fa3f869284748d78bd6c4e1e1bf696dd28f521bb36e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 69c | 7,247$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 31c | 7,182$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,955.74 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 37c | 1,805$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.13 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…2641backed Over | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Over | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 33c | 911.05$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 35c | 812.83$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.72 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Over | 64c | 455$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.2 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 32c | 282.39$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.19 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…ad3abacked Over | 69c | 193.32$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over | 58c | 173.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f16…701dbacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2208…53eebacked Over | 68c | 117.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 43c | 111.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 35c | 110$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…7659backed Over | 65c | 110$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…6b98backed Under | 45c | 43.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…c5febacked Over | 65c | 38.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee7…fb13backed Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Over | 55c | 32.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…9ae4backed Over | 67c | 29.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8daa…ca69backed Over | 64c | 23.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…2d52backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf3…b8efbacked Over | 60c | 17.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 68c | 16.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5this page
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Fritz vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Fritz vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)Zverev won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.