Tennis · resolved market
Set 3 Winner: Fritz vs Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78182e2b077bd752fe109634669f09ced96f2c6fe30af446427a0b6fd13c7b02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Fritz, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb581…0308backed Zverev | 60c | 1,170$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.97 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Fritz | 47c | 623.79$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.64 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fritz | 40c | 506.85$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.74 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Zverev | 52c | 452.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.27 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f16…701dbacked Zverev | 61c | 397.35$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Fritz | 3c | 333.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Fritz | 41c | 238.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Zverev | 60c | 223.13$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Fritz | 44c | 189.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Fritz | 41c | 187.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fritz | 39c | 148$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…0665backed Zverev | 57c | 135.53$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fritz | 40c | 130.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Fritz | 23c | 126.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Fritz | 40c | 98.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Fritz | 44c | 91.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Fritz | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Fritz | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…24fabacked Zverev | 62c | 65.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…4fc2backed Zverev | 62c | 32.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Fritz | 40c | 25.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Zverev | 54c | 25.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 3 Winner: Fritz vs Zverevthis page
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Fritz vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)Zverev won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.