Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4a1e339d8e666820251bcd1a20e62ec02cca1668db3ed767f9c374b031824fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Fritz, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x698b…4426backed Zverev | 63c | 3,059$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.83 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Fritz | 35c | 1,037$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.84 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Fritz | 37c | 1,036$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.31 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Fritz | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Fritz | 37c | 635.08$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.98 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…b252backed Zverev | 66c | 566.85$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.23 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fritz | 10c | 533.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…0665backed Fritz | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Zverev | 63c | 525$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Zverev | 64c | 498$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.28 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Fritz | 39c | 269.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Fritz | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Zverev | 63c | 139.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Fritz | 39c | 136.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Fritz | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Zverev | 61c | 127.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…3932backed Fritz | 37c | 115.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Fritz | 37c | 115.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Zverev | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Zverev | 62c | 95.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Zverev | 63c | 80.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Fritz | 38c | 79.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Zverev | 63c | 79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Zverev | 63c | 76.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Zverev | 57c | 76.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fritz | 35c | 64.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Zverev | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Zverev | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…3071backed Zverev | 65c | 43.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed Zverev | 64c | 23.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…3fa6backed Zverev | 64c | 17.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)this page
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Fritz vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Fritz vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)Zverev won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.