Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Toledo Rockets vs. Massachusetts Minutemen: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04ce0b6a44963b753904fc78503ef05db4ae6363ea1f564b38a1a94f9bfcb2ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 54c | 25,378$13,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,793.71 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 2,879$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.75 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 2,862$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 2,542$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.62 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Over | 45c | 2,522$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.22 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 46c | 2,100$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 45c | 296.28$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.95 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 47c | 243.65$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.17 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 38c | 150.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.82 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…68a2backed Under | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked Over | 45c | 41.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 46c | 39.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…6f30backed Over | 46c | 27.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 38c | 27.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 46c | 26.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 46c | 25.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toledo Rockets vs. Massachusetts Minutemen: O/U 165.5this page
- Spread: Massachusetts Minutemen (-2.5)Toledo Rockets won
- Toledo Rockets vs. Massachusetts MinutemenMassachusetts Minutemen won
- Toledo Rockets vs. Massachusetts Minutemen: O/U 164.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.