Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f2af33c97927b7da0e3a8e64c78dc685750edaa2d20a14f84ad0ee4f56ea854
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $353,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9007…2421backed Yes | 0c | 125,592$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.59 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 5c | 40,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 4c | 8,004$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.16 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Yes | 4c | 7,370$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 6c | 6,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf167…28eebacked Yes | 1c | 4,543$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 1c | 4,035$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 6c | 3,916$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…debbbacked Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 1c | 1,939$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 5c | 1,616$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29dd…d6cabacked Yes | 1c | 1,568$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…e87dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,568$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb1…d6c8backed Yes | 5c | 1,501$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Yes | 2c | 1,498$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…7584backed Yes | 6c | 1,457$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 9cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Yes | 5c | 1,400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 1,335$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…7adfbacked Yes | 6c | 999.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 4c | 996.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 5c | 943$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 5c | 799.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 5c | 496.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 5c | 479.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 5c | 460.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 4c | 438.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -11.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 7c | 400.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Yes | 5c | 393.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 4c | 358.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 7c | 337.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 5c | 317.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e6…a613backed Yes | 6c | 308.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Yes | 6c | 265.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 6c | 253.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…6011backed Yes | 8c | 218.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 7c | 209.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 5c | 201.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 5c | 201.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-22?this page
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.