TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,159,669
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,505,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,159,669 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No16c115,868$18,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,334.683351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08e6…5448backed No15c100,487$14,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,869.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No16c70,392$11,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,262.712128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No15c58,667$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,799.982317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No16c42,003$6,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,609.522920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No16c32,036$4,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,983.053450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No16c19,809$3,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,169.442040%8 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No16c19,050$3,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0446443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No17c16,438$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,816.8929637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No16c15,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No16c12,732$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.165040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbca8…f06dbacked No16c11,404$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.66520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No15c10,605$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.7462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No15c8,999$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.791361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No16c7,246$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.6552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No2c6,866$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.852835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c5,892$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.48368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No16c5,698$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.626553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d2…de22backed No16c5,651$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.17333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No7c5,618$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.26475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No17c5,310$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.691330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed No16c5,140$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.39616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked No16c4,876$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+121.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No2c4,000$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.983053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No16c3,097$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.511957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No16c2,849$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.811338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes70c2,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502352.2%12 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.28per pick24cpaid+330.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No15c2,426$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.8614346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No10c2,205$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.793745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked No3c2,065$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.55728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No17c2,043$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.310521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004250%21 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No16c1,962$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.4933148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No17c1,818$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.9727748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…f873backed No17c1,803$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No17c1,757$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.72837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa70…5501backed No17c1,677$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.06955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b2…8297backed No20c1,448$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe988…cf23backed No16c1,439$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.42862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick33cpaid+88.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked No2c1,375$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed No6c1,363$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.771717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed No1c1,299$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.59540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No12c1,195$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.62650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6a…26f7backed No9c1,116$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.43540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac8…6167backed No16c1,115$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked No15c1,010$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.51136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed No6c975.05$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.54266.7%28 W · 14 L+10.6wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+70.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No7c944.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0926660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No17c848.51$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8445233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ae…1ef1backed No18c844.31$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No16c844$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.04944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed No16c805.32$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+73.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No9c756.32$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.033910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed No4c734.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.391540%6 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick15cpaid+869.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed No16c599.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.931127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6584…3843backed No16c593.5$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb7…4a53backed No17c558.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No17c528.21$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7827049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No14c525.24$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.610938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked No14c478.37$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.363231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No11c431.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.296943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e1c…53f2backed No17c416.19$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.751241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No12c387.37$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.181163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No3c345.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.711323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No6c326$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.31520%3 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No16c299.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No16c296.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.483154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No16c296.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.482254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed No16c296.28$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.41442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No18c277.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.971850%9 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed No18c256.15$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.114030%12 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed No8c228.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed No22c216.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.661338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed No16c195.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No16c195$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.22955.2%16 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+44.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No19c189.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.788254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No15c180$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed No16c178.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.341250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed No17c175.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…4b62backed No16c175.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.52333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed No15c174.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.241464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc82b…4a75backed No7c161.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No16c155.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.843070%21 W · 9 L+5.4wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+49.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed No16c148.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.43655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No18c144$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9226845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No14c132.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.619863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3304…4d82backed No18c126.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No16c123$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.683732.4%12 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked No11c119.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.424734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No16c118.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No16c118.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.998056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked No16c113.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.15850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed No22c108.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.832138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No15c102.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3626041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed No16c97.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.594639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No17c95.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.157556%42 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.