Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c1deea8753d00ce85acf78452891ca1e1557321aa405b31a2819d1b8ce8b14c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes | 14c | 3,846$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.23 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 18c | 3,540$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.23 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 3,128$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.08 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes | 16c | 2,941$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 2,248$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.42 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 18c | 1,547$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.18 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 6c | 1,165$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 11c | 930$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Yes | 7c | 694.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 14c | 684.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…1ebebacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 531.67$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.65 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 3c | 522.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 13c | 489.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b51…9144backed Yes | 12c | 315$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 80c | 300.52$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Yes | 13c | 293.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 17c | 215.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…adc2backed Yes | 18c | 172.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 10c | 156$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Yes | 18c | 145.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 12c | 103$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 16c | 95.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 90.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 19c | 81.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 21c | 73.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed Yes | 18c | 73.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 16c | 69.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 18c | 57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 42.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 80c | 31.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed No | 79c | 16.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 80c | 15.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked No | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.