Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e0b89998a2e4d6bf186bc0ec37519265b862ea541511a7219e992965adcc05e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 39c | 2,318$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.24 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 1,087$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.67 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Yes | 41c | 816.15$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.09 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 9c | 733$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 38c | 644.75$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.53 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 72c | 607.79$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…1478backed Yes | 24c | 604.17$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 56c | 505.83$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.8 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 493$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.68 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 76c | 480.18$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.93 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 24c | 420$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 410.54$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.62 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Yes | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 7c | 285.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked No | 55c | 279.81$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.04 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 7c | 241$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 216.84$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 10c | 210$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 37c | 204.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked No | 77c | 193$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.61 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 25c | 176.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…adc2backed Yes | 24c | 172.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed No | 71c | 166$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 47c | 163.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.77 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 72c | 159.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 16c | 152$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed No | 19c | 142.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 142.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed No | 19c | 126.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Yes | 61c | 112.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 59c | 102$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 23c | 99.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Yes | 23c | 94.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed Yes | 61c | 91.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 60c | 89.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 31c | 80.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 31c | 80.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +198.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 74c | 80.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc79c…73fbbacked No | 75c | 80.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 31c | 76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 76c | 74.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 75c | 51.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 38c | 36.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -11.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…e187backed No | 47c | 33.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 77c | 32.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8207…af57backed No | 77c | 27.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed No | 76c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 63c | 24.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 20.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked No | 75c | 17.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…5320backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-07-16?No won
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.