NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25d6d62770ff7ca9fcf9404d00cb0c1d9aff69454e4a7b0c53be3797a6f8348d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Under | 56c | 40,733$22,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,746.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 54c | 20,290$10,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,956.67 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 15,079$6,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,082.82 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 10,127$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,478.05 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 8,950$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,932.6 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 44c | 7,884$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,414.79 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 6,602$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over | 49c | 5,113$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.02 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.99 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 46c | 3,478$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.26 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Over | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Over | 47c | 2,389$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.68 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Over | 46c | 1,408$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.32 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Under | 51c | 1,000$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.5 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 45c | 800$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.73 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Over | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 55c | 628$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.4 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Over | 59c | 622.26$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over | 48c | 534.04$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.7 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 46c | 460$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 52c | 444$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 36c | 353.44$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 53c | 340.56$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.65 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Over | 46c | 336.96$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.96 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 232$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.28 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Over | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 46c | 211.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f5…6e03backed Under | 56c | 179.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…7f1fbacked Under | 56c | 175.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 159$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 114.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Under | 56c | 114.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 44c | 111.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 177 | 54.2%96 W · 81 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Over | 46c | 96.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef4…96dfbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Over | 44c | 68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 44c | 61.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 52c | 59.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 57c | 58.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Over | 49c | 40.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 44c | 40.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…17b2backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 52c | 27.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 55c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 128 | 26.6%34 W · 94 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5this page
- Canucks vs. CanadiensCanadiens won
- Canucks vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.