Australian A League · resolved market
Sydney FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4ec6d2b18e0d014891bcad9be1c4b1abd894d73f918d0f0150e3fb37a7c0d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 1,041$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.46 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Yes | 47c | 429.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 345.11$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.06 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Yes | 59c | 220.34$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2367…c5b3backed Yes | 39c | 205.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 58c | 172.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 141.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 42c | 117.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 34c | 108.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -6.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0375…dd78backed No | 52c | 87.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 42c | 79.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f8…9908backed No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 55c | 34.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 57c | 22.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Yes | 59c | 18.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sydney FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sydney FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sydney FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.