Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa vs. Cameroon: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x087b1edd56bf05b87a360983d511341f047d03c0b0884c228fd65a084796cbec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 42c | 4,499$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.45 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 4,439$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.61 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 1,664$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.46 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…833fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,380$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.27 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 49c | 1,061$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 8c | 844.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.78 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 34c | 706.32$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.47 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Yes | 42c | 478.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…eb92backed Yes | 34c | 147.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 42c | 118.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…8d9bbacked Yes | 48c | 111.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 52c | 103.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 40c | 101.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed No | 71c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 58c | 71.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…6834backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 55c | 60.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 49c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 54c | 47.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 34c | 37.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed No | 64c | 33.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x115c…1e85backed Yes | 62c | 32.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691e…cbbbbacked Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 50c | 21.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…c7aabacked No | 63c | 17.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa vs. Cameroon: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- South Africa vs. Cameroon: O/U 1.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Cameroon: O/U 2.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Cameroon: O/U 3.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Cameroon: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.