Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa vs. Cameroon: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbae4df2e914b6c9dd4af5d5563d7f9d626c46543bb7e76c0ec5e56a7f157d74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 53c | 1,893$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 1,134$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.84 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Under | 57c | 999.76$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 962.52$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.47 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Under | 52c | 337$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 57c | 336$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Over | 76c | 298.41$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 28c | 180.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 64c | 171.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Over | 79c | 109$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Over | 54c | 97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 139 | 55.4%77 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 71.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Under | 36c | 67.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 52c | 56.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 36c | 54.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…eb92backed Over | 49c | 48.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1e…d9b0backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Under | 38c | 35.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6490…c6c1backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Over | 44c | 24.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 57c | 20.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…7172backed Over | 65c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa vs. Cameroon: O/U 1.5this page
- South Africa vs. Cameroon: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- South Africa vs. Cameroon: O/U 2.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Cameroon: O/U 3.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Cameroon: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.