Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Weber State Wildcats (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ce30685d75ea6eb155b563d415583b5175058bc4c84e0b3bebcf644ddcdab7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Idaho State Bengalsof Weber State Wildcats, Idaho State Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Idaho State Bengals | 50c | 26,506$13,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,135.94 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 10,209$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.41 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Weber State Wildcats | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.99 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 3,550$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.28 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Weber State Wildcats | 48c | 2,935$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 1,691$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.51 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Idaho State Bengals | 51c | 782.8$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.33 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Idaho State Bengals | 48c | 562.5$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Weber State Wildcats | 48c | 502.5$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 425.53$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.51 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Idaho State Bengals | 52c | 387.88$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.35 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Idaho State Bengals | 51c | 314.77$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 226$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Idaho State Bengals | 52c | 225.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Weber State Wildcats | 48c | 208.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 195.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Weber State Wildcats | 48c | 187.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Idaho State Bengals | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Weber State Wildcats | 50c | 130.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Weber State Wildcats | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e1…4cc7backed Weber State Wildcats | 50c | 99.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Weber State Wildcats | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Idaho State Bengals | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Weber State Wildcats | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Idaho State Bengals | 48c | 61.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Weber State Wildcats | 50c | 48.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…a56abacked Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5f…a8a0backed Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Weber State Wildcats | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Idaho State Bengals | 51c | 21.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Weber State Wildcats (-2.5)this page
- Idaho State Bengals vs. Weber State WildcatsWeber State Wildcats won
- Idaho State Bengals vs. Weber State Wildcats: O/U 151.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.