Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Idaho State Bengals vs. Weber State Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe6edd2bc122c622f54bea90a51bf74ad69d0e8e2c46c4f1562d3f6580de20db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Weber State Wildcatsof Idaho State Bengals, Weber State Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Weber State Wildcats | 42c | 4,769$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.06 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Idaho State Bengals | 49c | 4,005$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.73 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Idaho State Bengals | 55c | 2,262$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.12 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Idaho State Bengals | 44c | 1,439$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.09 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Weber State Wildcats | 56c | 1,333$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.41 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Idaho State Bengals | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Idaho State Bengals | 33c | 826.81$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.9 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…a06dbacked Idaho State Bengals | 13c | 790$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 606.39$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.8 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Idaho State Bengals | 12c | 565$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…e38abacked Weber State Wildcats | 34c | 517.03$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.03 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Weber State Wildcats | 39c | 504.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.49 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Weber State Wildcats | 57c | 499.95$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.42 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Idaho State Bengals | 48c | 402$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.93 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Idaho State Bengals | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…e0f6backed Idaho State Bengals | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10bf…6e23backed Weber State Wildcats | 78c | 367.81$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b8…51cfbacked Idaho State Bengals | 11c | 286.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Idaho State Bengals | 11c | 241$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Weber State Wildcats | 52c | 232.43$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.63 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…e009backed Idaho State Bengals | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Idaho State Bengals | 25c | 190$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Idaho State Bengals | 42c | 185.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Idaho State Bengals | 58c | 173.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Idaho State Bengals | 16c | 148$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Idaho State Bengals | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Idaho State Bengals | 44c | 132.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Weber State Wildcats | 75c | 128$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Weber State Wildcats | 57c | 118.92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6570…32ccbacked Idaho State Bengals | 55c | 111$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Weber State Wildcats | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Idaho State Bengals | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Idaho State Bengals | 50c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Idaho State Bengals | 44c | 79.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Weber State Wildcats | 58c | 77.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Idaho State Bengals | 57c | 68.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Weber State Wildcats | 31c | 65.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Weber State Wildcats | 39c | 58.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e3…9c70backed Weber State Wildcats | 43c | 55.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edb…9963backed Weber State Wildcats | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Idaho State Bengals | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Weber State Wildcats | 44c | 45.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Weber State Wildcats | 79c | 42.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Idaho State Bengals | 62c | 42.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Idaho State Bengals | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Idaho State Bengals | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Weber State Wildcats | 65c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Idaho State Bengals | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Idaho State Bengals | 61c | 26.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Idaho State Bengals | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Idaho State Bengals vs. Weber State Wildcatsthis page
- Idaho State Bengals vs. Weber State Wildcats: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: Weber State Wildcats (-2.5)Idaho State Bengals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.