Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Hampton Pirates vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 133.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa17db486cfbe519faa5cf326e55d4737f9b354a0aa876ae93233e7e7757b0a9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 52c | 30,466$15,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,731.18 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 49c | 12,500$6,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,125 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 51c | 5,477$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.95 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 4,417$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.01 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 49c | 1,698$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.96 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,328$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.67 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 49c | 426.41$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.87 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 48c | 375$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 49c | 187.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 49c | 156.25$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 48c | 131$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e1…4cc7backed Over | 49c | 101.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d9…4da7backed Over | 47c | 84.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 47c | 77.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…a56abacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5f…a8a0backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hampton Pirates vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 133.5this page
- Hampton Pirates vs. Towson TigersTowson Tigers won
- Hampton Pirates vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 134.5Under won
- Spread: Towson Tigers (-8.5)Towson Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.