Lol · resolved market
LoL: 4 SWINES & A BUM vs Bulldog Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cc74790957d276024e217545448c267b84017de9b0b18a7911392ce6358bd3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bulldog Esportsof 4 SWINES & A BUM, Bulldog Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Bulldog Esports | 70c | 989.62$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.01 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…edf4backed Bulldog Esports | 74c | 938.41$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bulldog Esports | 70c | 930.81$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.67 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 14c | 879.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Bulldog Esports | 72c | 741.56$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.01 | 1,153 | 55.9%645 W · 508 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 29c | 627.68$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.03 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,813 | 39.1%709 W · 1,104 L | -30.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 13c | 508.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 298 | 23.8%71 W · 227 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 27c | 504.44$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.27 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 24c | 477.77$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 31c | 450$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Bulldog Esports | 69c | 399.88$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 26c | 395$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…126fbacked Bulldog Esports | 78c | 349.71$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 31c | 303.81$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 363 | 34.4%125 W · 238 L | -21.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 30c | 269.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Bulldog Esports | 74c | 228.93$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 40c | 225$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…e195backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 30c | 114.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…3753backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 30c | 98.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 25c | 92.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 25c | 80.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd130…2a7cbacked Bulldog Esports | 76c | 78.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…b398backed Bulldog Esports | 71c | 77.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 29c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bulldog Esports | 74c | 57.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 30c | 41.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Bulldog Esports | 74c | 37.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…96fbbacked Bulldog Esports | 73c | 35.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…6b89backed Bulldog Esports | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 413 | 47.7%197 W · 216 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e4…0b1fbacked Bulldog Esports | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Bulldog Esports | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Bulldog Esports | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Bulldog Esports | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…a56abacked Bulldog Esports | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Bulldog Esports | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.