Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b8cc10aa6a0ae0f6827bec11d6ea7319ac7262ec11f3f99444e7279e74a66ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 47c | 65,000$30,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,600 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Over | 53c | 57,710$30,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,586.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 54c | 27,513$14,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,856.94 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 46c | 11,111$5,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.94 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 47c | 2,050$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.5 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 47c | 2,050$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.5 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 1,434$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.3 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 1,173$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.17 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 559.37$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.75 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 388.14$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…e78cbacked Under | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 49c | 132.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Under | 47c | 112.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 98.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 51c | 56.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 46c | 24.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 47c | 23.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 144.5this page
- Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Alabama State HornetsAlabama A&M Bulldogs won
- Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 145.5Under won
- Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 146.5Under won
- Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 147.5Under won
- Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.