La Liga · resolved market
FC Andorra vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf3fba012f71d6eddf0932e821fd29b306344410f0b167c21c111bbee54ed13b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 35c | 7,138$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.29 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 4,393$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.9 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 73c | 2,416$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.81 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 1,975$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.82 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 1,223$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.14 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 32c | 999.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Over | 31c | 659.31$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.03 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 589.94$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.63 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 56c | 449.97$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.53 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 56c | 421$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.89 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 59c | 326.04$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.36 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 65c | 301.22$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…718dbacked Over | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…1a11backed Under | 50c | 252.2$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 63c | 220$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 189.04$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 28c | 159.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.06 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 72c | 150.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 138.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 15c | 85.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba37…dedcbacked Over | 72c | 78.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 72c | 40.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 70c | 39.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2858…0e19backed Under | 42c | 33.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…246abacked Under | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 61c | 24.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 61c | 22.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 74c | 22.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 73c | 18.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Over | 72c | 13.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Andorra vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Andorra vs. Real Valladolid CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Andorra vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Andorra vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Andorra vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Valladolid CF (-1.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: Real Valladolid CF (-2.5)FC Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.