La Liga · resolved market
FC Andorra vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb9a7d0eae1caabdd63bde0fdfcab7c7a91dae8aa844ece80381fff0b17eb242
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 48c | 6,521$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.26 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 3,798$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.03 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 3,005$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.09 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 47c | 1,222$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 49c | 899.07$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.25 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 48c | 858.92$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.28 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 53c | 819.12$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.67 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 809.22$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.91 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 803.22$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.04 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 53c | 584.43$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.63 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 436$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.85 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 53c | 400$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 54c | 370.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.36 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 27c | 299$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 197.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 175.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 15c | 174.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 53c | 168.07$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 17c | 84.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 57c | 59.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 46c | 55.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 54c | 54.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Over | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 53c | 48.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 46c | 42.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 54c | 37.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 48c | 37.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Under | 57c | 30.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Under | 57c | 30.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 55c | 27.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 53c | 26.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 78c | 23.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Andorra vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Andorra vs. Real Valladolid CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Andorra vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Andorra vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Andorra vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Valladolid CF (-1.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: Real Valladolid CF (-2.5)FC Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.