NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffe63a91f9d7073eea1b2e572539f3ac0e6fe4059b3388a5b93042cfa072e6ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Oilers, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $275,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913f…302dbacked Oilers | 54c | 97,774$52,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,798.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…0880backed Kraken | 46c | 97,700$44,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,758 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Oilers | 52c | 59,182$30,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,891.52 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Kraken | 50c | 46,367$23,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,992.03 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Oilers | 54c | 19,655$10,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,582.23 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fac…9842backed Oilers | 53c | 11,975$6,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,342.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Kraken | 46c | 8,755$4,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,717.26 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Kraken | 48c | 8,350$4,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,342.24 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kraken | 47c | 8,255$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,375.01 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 50c | 7,828$3,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,937.96 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Kraken | 48c | 6,781$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.59 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers | 9c | 3,245$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.06 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Kraken | 47c | 3,117$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.03 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Oilers | 52c | 3,000$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…1090backed Oilers | 33c | 2,572$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Kraken | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 47c | 2,382$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.38 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken | 46c | 2,324$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.78 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Oilers | 53c | 2,170$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…5795backed Kraken | 50c | 2,140$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0c…827ebacked Kraken | 49c | 2,102$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb274…bf9abacked Kraken | 50c | 2,093$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Oilers | 54c | 2,003$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Kraken | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Oilers | 58c | 1,906$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.52 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Kraken | 47c | 1,817$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.23 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Oilers | 10c | 1,549$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.67 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcac…d069backed Oilers | 53c | 1,507$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.97 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c93…8f21backed Kraken | 48c | 1,497$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 50c | 1,370$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.92 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Kraken | 46c | 1,209$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.37 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Oilers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kraken | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Kraken | 45c | 999.9$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.95 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Oilers | 76c | 986.64$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken | 44c | 958.22$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.6 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Oilers | 51c | 873.35$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.63 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Oilers | 54c | 854.76$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…caa9backed Oilers | 51c | 737$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Kraken | 46c | 639.84$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.57 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Kraken | 65c | 403.54$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.6 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Oilers | 52c | 400.91$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb4…e810backed Oilers | 56c | 348.21$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Oilers | 19c | 329.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Kraken | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Oilers | 54c | 256$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Oilers | 52c | 230.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Oilers | 20c | 224.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…86b1backed Oilers | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c43…5462backed Kraken | 48c | 220.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…d1ddbacked Kraken | 47c | 206.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.61 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken | 47c | 203.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Kraken | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Oilers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Oilers | 51c | 199.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Kraken | 47c | 129.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d39…983bbacked Kraken | 47c | 124.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2da…b4debacked Oilers | 54c | 118.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…9eebbacked Kraken | 47c | 114.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a31…f3babacked Oilers | 54c | 113$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…4684backed Kraken | 47c | 111.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Oilers | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…cd97backed Oilers | 54c | 109.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kraken | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07f…ad9dbacked Oilers | 54c | 101.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d8…b9e5backed Oilers | 54c | 100.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Kraken | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb24…df3fbacked Oilers | 54c | 99.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad2…429dbacked Oilers | 54c | 99.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…c612backed Kraken | 47c | 98.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fee…5519backed Kraken | 47c | 98.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c7…b16cbacked Oilers | 54c | 97.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7679…310cbacked Kraken | 47c | 97.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47d…c6acbacked Oilers | 54c | 96.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kraken | 47c | 96.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…6e79backed Kraken | 47c | 95.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc78…4e56backed Kraken | 47c | 94.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb217…5b91backed Kraken | 47c | 93.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…31b9backed Oilers | 54c | 93.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceba…b645backed Oilers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x231d…ae78backed Kraken | 47c | 92.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x406b…a13bbacked Oilers | 54c | 92.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers | 52c | 91.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b1…b478backed Oilers | 55c | 91.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6c…a5bfbacked Oilers | 54c | 91.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…4a09backed Kraken | 47c | 90.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…0d51backed Oilers | 54c | 87.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…5741backed Kraken | 47c | 87.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…114bbacked Oilers | 54c | 84.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…41b0backed Kraken | 47c | 84.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ba…fbd8backed Oilers | 54c | 84.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…2506backed Oilers | 54c | 83.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…b8f6backed Kraken | 47c | 83.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9268…6d02backed Kraken | 47c | 83.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…b727backed Oilers | 54c | 82.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Oilers | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.