TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bluesof Avalanche, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,885
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,885 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xecb1…5da3backed Avalanche56c12,572$7,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,040.3211352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Avalanche1c8,942$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9217448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Blues44c7,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9204955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche56c5,350$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,975.851,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf13…0a9abacked Blues79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Avalanche21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+90.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Blues44c4,871$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,727.681353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche14c2,842$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.633,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Blues45c2,500$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.3949351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Blues44c2,112$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.7230549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…36b0backed Blues44c1,300$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+49.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x811f…1743backed Avalanche56c1,300$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blues43c1,207$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.9675155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Avalanche1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Blues75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25013754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98ec…7cd3backed Avalanche25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-65%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Blues44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Blues44c984.05$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.0764242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…c6d1backed Blues44c956$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b2…e9e8backed Avalanche56c956$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4585…8a64backed Blues44c868$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63ae…d072backed Avalanche56c868$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Avalanche14c700.9$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.531,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Blues43c599.91$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.9520649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues43c502.91$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.6697651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Avalanche3c415.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.918720.7%18 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fec…70f9backed Avalanche27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004425%11 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche57c333$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8150857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Blues45c309$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.041,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a7…10d6backed Avalanche38c300$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1133729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche56c293.3$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Avalanche57c230$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.14650%23 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Avalanche44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010147.5%48 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked Avalanche57c219.3$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf665…8708backed Avalanche57c210.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Blues44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11250049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Avalanche6c188.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Avalanche56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.810546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Avalanche57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012462.9%78 W · 46 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Avalanche7c169.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.984330.2%13 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e6…46b2backed Blues45c167.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.68977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a65…e883backed Blues61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931353.8%7 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick69cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7f4…0336backed Blues55c150.66$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6811248.2%54 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Avalanche34c148.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc797…49cdbacked Avalanche10c130.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.672433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Blues43c125.43$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9611751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Blues43c115.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1137738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0352…4408backed Blues44c112$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7f…d02ebacked Blues45c111.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc02c…5ef2backed Blues44c110.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.69742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e24…15e6backed Avalanche57c101$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.571457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Avalanche57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5735154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Avalanche15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1554418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Avalanche57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche56c99.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9973157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a17…0301backed Blues44c94.05$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9bae…c4c0backed Avalanche57c91.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.18560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c6a…91a5backed Avalanche57c85.32$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7cd…7a8bbacked Blues44c83.64$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.844100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd1e…9edfbacked Avalanche57c81.44$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4240%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcadf…2fc2backed Avalanche57c80.72$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x089b…775bbacked Avalanche57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb396…313cbacked Avalanche57c68.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af0…c63bbacked Blues44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.181353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Avalanche57c66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6220861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Blues62c65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.497955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe4e…1bedbacked Avalanche57c60.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8940…64f1backed Avalanche57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b7…958dbacked Avalanche57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011558.3%67 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a6…6d23backed Avalanche57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028853.1%153 W · 135 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bde…8679backed Blues44c51.39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500a…a800backed Blues79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.446558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1ee…b078backed Avalanche57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1cd8backed Avalanche57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202250%11 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a9d…9646backed Avalanche57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84c…279dbacked Avalanche57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.956071.7%43 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Blues44c32.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4518452.2%96 W · 88 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Blues43c32.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5728440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Blues41c32.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1665345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f6…c312backed Avalanche57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159555.8%53 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc4…8c38backed Avalanche57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159567.4%64 W · 31 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Blues44c26.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.641,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a40…217fbacked Avalanche56c23.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafca…2501backed Avalanche57c23.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471f…b7f0backed Blues45c23.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd4…e888backed Avalanche56c23.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Avalanche55c21.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210638.7%41 W · 65 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Avalanche55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b59…b31bbacked Blues79c15.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.19683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.