Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nebraska vs. Northwestern
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91ffe954866307ef05a3969aeb259cadbf73ce0c1f3f3cfcf20b310a4efa773e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nebraskaof Nebraska, Northwestern
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Nebraska | 58c | 3,638$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.22 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Northwestern | 42c | 2,559$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.28 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Nebraska | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nebraska | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Northwestern | 50c | 607.86$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Northwestern | 42c | 554.66$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.67 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f22…488dbacked Northwestern | 47c | 525.53$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…0d75backed Nebraska | 55c | 525.46$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Northwestern | 43c | 477.04$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.02 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Nebraska | 43c | 301.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Northwestern | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Northwestern | 42c | 238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Northwestern | 46c | 217.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Northwestern | 45c | 204.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…8c5bbacked Northwestern | 47c | 157.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Northwestern | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Northwestern | 46c | 100.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9809…263cbacked Nebraska | 54c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nebraska | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7574…2efabacked Northwestern | 46c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d4…f91dbacked Nebraska | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe09b…a74ebacked Northwestern | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…fa73backed Northwestern | 45c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df0…833dbacked Northwestern | 45c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe3…2613backed Northwestern | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…21d1backed Northwestern | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ce…5621backed Nebraska | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Nebraska | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31f…370fbacked Northwestern | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Northwestern | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…6e14backed Nebraska | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12b…51cabacked Nebraska | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…58f4backed Nebraska | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5585…32dfbacked Northwestern | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…0da6backed Nebraska | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…76ccbacked Nebraska | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…2d41backed Northwestern | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…595fbacked Nebraska | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8194…faacbacked Nebraska | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +227.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…f34abacked Northwestern | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Northwestern | 48c | 31.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb5…b545backed Nebraska | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…7d3bbacked Nebraska | 55c | 23.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…13ecbacked Northwestern | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…9031backed Nebraska | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.