Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Texas Mean Green vs. South Alabama Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x077878eae106fe1f4ad29eb74e152c9b70fc8450d4304ceaed4d918a6c3d07b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Texas Mean Greenof North Texas Mean Green, South Alabama Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed North Texas Mean Green | 71c | 1,556$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.92 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed North Texas Mean Green | 66c | 1,531$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.42 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed South Alabama Jaguars | 4c | 719.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 35c | 675.23$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.81 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed South Alabama Jaguars | 31c | 567.41$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.18 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed South Alabama Jaguars | 30c | 481.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.87 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked South Alabama Jaguars | 34c | 451.06$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.43 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 52c | 377.78$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.82 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 39c | 304.58$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 29c | 301.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked North Texas Mean Green | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.42 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…24d7backed South Alabama Jaguars | 31c | 251.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked North Texas Mean Green | 59c | 247$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed North Texas Mean Green | 77c | 244.83$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked North Texas Mean Green | 44c | 232.57$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed North Texas Mean Green | 71c | 210$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed North Texas Mean Green | 80c | 186.01$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 56c | 182$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed North Texas Mean Green | 73c | 164.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Alabama Jaguars | 37c | 152.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed North Texas Mean Green | 76c | 115.32$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed South Alabama Jaguars | 22c | 104.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed South Alabama Jaguars | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed North Texas Mean Green | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 54c | 91.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed South Alabama Jaguars | 30c | 73.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed North Texas Mean Green | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 24c | 49.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked North Texas Mean Green | 65c | 37.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 32c | 32.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed South Alabama Jaguars | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed North Texas Mean Green | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed South Alabama Jaguars | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Texas Mean Green vs. South Alabama Jaguarsthis page
- North Texas Mean Green vs. South Alabama Jaguars: O/U 131.5Under won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. South Alabama Jaguars: O/U 134.5Under won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. South Alabama Jaguars: O/U 136.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.