Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Elon Phoenix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6571aa6d817673602edcecfbfa74ae071f651797a44762ef5e72a2be3002af28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elon Phoenixof Northern Illinois Huskies, Elon Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Elon Phoenix | 80c | 6,200$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 23c | 2,177$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.71 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 25c | 1,795$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Elon Phoenix | 70c | 1,383$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.3 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 38c | 1,299$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.74 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 20c | 1,267$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.35 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 2c | 1,078$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Elon Phoenix | 76c | 926.85$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 15c | 657.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Elon Phoenix | 35c | 344.16$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 9c | 330.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 32c | 323$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.09 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 17c | 320.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 24c | 256.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…9f03backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 58c | 215.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 20c | 204.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 25c | 203.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Elon Phoenix | 60c | 148.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 15c | 133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Elon Phoenix | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Elon Phoenix | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 19c | 98.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 55c | 93.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…24d7backed Elon Phoenix | 34c | 71.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 20c | 54.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ca…3739backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 80c | 52.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…ca40backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked Elon Phoenix | 25c | 46.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Elon Phoenix | 41c | 44.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…81a9backed Elon Phoenix | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Elon Phoenix | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Elon Phoenixthis page
- Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 157.5Over won
- Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 158.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.