Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Boise State Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x243923080100c69e8731df982b0be6809d339f1976dd4ca2db7463f7833bdf8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boise State Broncosof Saint Mary's Gaels, Boise State Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 58c | 9,276$5,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,371.96 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 59c | 7,394$4,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,394.52 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boise State Broncos | 49c | 5,654$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.33 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Boise State Broncos | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Boise State Broncos | 72c | 1,054$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.24 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Boise State Broncos | 43c | 893.46$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.07 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 58c | 855.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 21c | 854.68$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.75 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Boise State Broncos | 39c | 800$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.4 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Boise State Broncos | 42c | 749.98$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.99 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Boise State Broncos | 40c | 742.78$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.34 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 9c | 696.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boise State Broncos | 42c | 670.16$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Boise State Broncos | 38c | 573.43$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.79 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Boise State Broncos | 73c | 554.7$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.16 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boise State Broncos | 39c | 522.83$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.38 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Boise State Broncos | 36c | 519$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.45 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Boise State Broncos | 36c | 451.24$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.79 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Boise State Broncos | 44c | 362.96$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Boise State Broncos | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Boise State Broncos | 41c | 341$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.19 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 28c | 323.46$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 24c | 311$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Boise State Broncos | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Boise State Broncos | 43c | 250$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.57 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Boise State Broncos | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Boise State Broncos | 42c | 194.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 28c | 193.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boise State Broncos | 72c | 187.12$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Boise State Broncos | 77c | 185$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Boise State Broncos | 43c | 178$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Boise State Broncos | 43c | 165.12$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 36c | 163.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 44c | 162.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…04f6backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 38c | 160.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Boise State Broncos | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Boise State Broncos | 43c | 130$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 26c | 117.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 115.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Boise State Broncos | 43c | 113.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Boise State Broncos | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 58c | 85.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…24d7backed Boise State Broncos | 57c | 76.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Boise State Broncos | 56c | 74.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eda…1847backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 28c | 70.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 30c | 61.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Boise State Broncos | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae6…5933backed Boise State Broncos | 44c | 49.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked Boise State Broncos | 69c | 45.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8b…b72cbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 58c | 42.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Boise State Broncos | 72c | 37.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 61c | 37.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e21…c002backed Boise State Broncos | 43c | 29.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…6653backed Boise State Broncos | 44c | 25.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…4532backed Boise State Broncos | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Boise State Broncosthis page
- Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 134.5Over won
- Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 135.5Under won
- Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 137.5Under won
- Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-1.5)Boise State Broncos won
- Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-2.5)Boise State Broncos won
- Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-3.5)Boise State Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.